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Can the housing market weather Iran conflict 2.0 and higher rates?
Weekly housing indicators suggest a modest cooling as mortgage rates spent most of last week above 6.64% and the Iran conflict escalates.
Can the housing market still grow with mortgage rates over 6.64%?
With rates near yearly highs and above 6.64%, purchase apps slipped 7% weekly and 2% yearly, but pending sales stayed ahead of 2025.
Higher mortgage rates push applications lower after holiday week
MBA says applications fell as the 30-year fixed rate rose to 6.65%, while the refinance index increased 4% and purchases fell 7%.
Iran conflict lifts mortgage rates, but housing demand stays positive
Pending sales rose to 63,971 versus 61,143 in 2025, inventory ended at 844,011, and price cuts were 39.57% versus 41%.
Mortgage applications dip during holiday week as rates edge up
MBA reports applications fell 2.2% for the week ending July 3, with refis down 4% and purchase activity down 1% on an adjusted basis.
Better mortgage spreads are still keeping home sales positive
Mortgage spreads improved to 2.01%, keeping rates near 6.60% as total pending sales rose to 422,120 vs 396,652 last year.
