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Can the housing market weather Iran conflict 2.0 and higher rates?
Weekly housing indicators suggest a modest cooling as mortgage rates spent most of last week above 6.64% and the Iran conflict escalates.
Luxury buyer interest doubles, demand shifts to larger properties
According to the Coldwell Banker, searches for U.S. luxury real estate by küresel buyers increased 100% during the first five months of 2026.
Can the housing market still grow with mortgage rates over 6.64%?
With rates near yearly highs and above 6.64%, purchase apps slipped 7% weekly and 2% yearly, but pending sales stayed ahead of 2025.
Iran conflict lifts mortgage rates, but housing demand stays positive
Pending sales rose to 63,971 versus 61,143 in 2025, inventory ended at 844,011, and price cuts were 39.57% versus 41%.
Housing affordability is improving as wages outpace home-price growth
Inventory is 1.56 million with 4.6 months of supply, helping keep 1.8% home-price growth below wage gains running near 3.5%.
Existing home sales decline in June as prices reach another record high
The median sales price rose to a record $440,600 in June — up annually 1.8% and the 36th consecutive month of year-over-year price gains.
